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Last recorded probability
0%Trading is no longer treated as active while the final result is pending. The figures below are historical and excluded from live rankings and signals.
Probability history will appear after additional syncs.
0%
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 23 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ed Hale | 11.6% | +0.4pp | $22K | awaiting resolution |
| Dan Cox | 89.5% | +1.0pp | $16K | awaiting resolution |
| Larry Hogan | 0.3% | +0.1pp | $19K | awaiting resolution |
| John Myrick | 0.8% | -0.05pp | $14K | awaiting resolution |
| Steve Hershey | 0.1% | -0.1pp | $13K | awaiting resolution |
| Christopher Bouchat | 0.1% | — | $11K | awaiting resolution |
| Kurt Wedekind | 0.1% | — | $11K | awaiting resolution |
| Carl Brunner | 0.1% | — | $10K | awaiting resolution |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.