Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
19%
+1.0ppProbability moved noticeably over 24h. Signal quality is low because 24h volume is unavailable.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
86%
24h Change
+7.5pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
6
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability moved noticeably over 24h. The recorded move is up 7.5pp. Signal quality is low because 24h volume is unavailable; liquidity is $517 and 24h volume is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Resolution deadline: 1 Jan 2027, 05:00 UTC
Markets with overlapping topics, entities, or events.
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