EAEventAlpha
Finance

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

100%Stale dataStale / needs refresh+52.5pp (24h)

Recent probability movement (up 52.5pp) is moderate, with acceptable but not deep market activity.

Signal: Medium

Probability history will appear after additional syncs.

100%

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability moved sharply over 24h. The recorded move is up 52.5pp. EventAlpha snapshot history is still sparse — use Polymarket volume/liquidity as the primary confidence check.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
100.0%
No implied probability
0.0%
Liquidity
$98K
Market Activity
$289K
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
24 Jun 2026, 22:36 UTC
View on Polymarket

AI Market Brief

AI brief generated from stored market data at 25 Jun 2026, 20:48 UTC

What this market asks

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Current market read

This market asks whether the Active Month (front month) CME settlement price for Silver (SI) futures will be at or below $60 on any trading day by the final trading day of June 2026. It is one outcome, "↓ $60," within a multi-outcome event, so the volume and liquidity shown here reflect this outcome's market activity only. The current market-implied probability is 99.95%, and the top-level 24h movement is 52.45 percentage points.

Key takeaways

  • High recent trading activity in this outcome's market activity, with 24h volume of 22,455.577556999993.
  • Large top-level 24h movement of 52.45 percentage points.
  • Finance-category contract tied to CME Silver futures settlement pricing.

Risks & uncertainties

  • This is one outcome within a grouped event, so the figures shown are not combined across all outcomes.
  • The latestSnapshot probability and movement differ from the top-level fields; the top-level values are canonical here.
  • Resolution depends on CME's official settlement price methodology, which can vary by commodity and contract.

Resolution summary

The market resolves to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or below $60 by the final trading day of June 2026. Only the CME Group website's daily official settlement price for the Active Month counts; intraday prices, bids, offers, highs, lows, midpoint values, and later corrections do not. Days without an official settlement price are ignored. The resolution source is the CME Group silver settlements page.

Built from stored Polymarket market data. No external news feed.

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

Resolution source: https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.settlements.html. This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 30 Jun 2026, 17:30 UTC

Related Markets

Markets with overlapping topics, entities, or events.