Sport

Will Ronald Acuña Jr. hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?

Current implied probability

Market data currentStable consensus

24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.

Signal: Low

Low-confidence movement

This market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.

Current

24h Change

0.0pp

7D Change

Not enough history

30D Change

Not enough history

Snapshots

100

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability: 0.1%
No implied probability: 99.8%
Liquidity: $883
24h activity: $9
Lifetime volume: $337K
Data Source: Polymarket
Last Synced: 17 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC

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Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.

Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.

Source event comparison

Related outcomes in one view

Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.

Outcome	Probability	24h change	Liquidity	State
Xavier Edwards	0.3%	-0.7pp	$563	active
Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1%	—	$883	active
Shohei Ohtani	0.1%	—	$988	active
Otto Lopez	0.7%	-0.05pp	$972	active
Kevin McGonigle	0.3%	-0.05pp	$772	active
Byron Buxton	0.1%	—	$554	active
Corbin Carroll	96.7%	+0.05pp	$263	active
Luis Arraez	1.4%	+0.3pp	$1K	active
Chandler Simpson	0.5%	—	$956	active
Bobby Witt Jr.	0.1%	-0.1pp	$951	active
Daylen Lile	0.6%	-0.05pp	$753	active
Jarren Duran	0.1%	—	$408	active
Wyatt Langford	0.1%	—	$954	active
Andrew Benintendi	0.1%	—	$546	active
Jung Hoo Lee	0.1%	—	$485	active
Elly De La Cruz	0.1%	—	$561	active
Jakob Marsee	0.1%	—	$617	active
Michael Harris II	0.1%	—	$559	active
Miguel Andujar	0.1%	—	$690	active
Max Muncy	0.3%	—	$641	active
Roman Anthony	0.1%	—	$720	active
Trea Turner	0.1%	—	$618	active
Mickey Moniak	0.1%	—	$612	active
Zach McKinstry	0.1%	—	$576	active
Francisco Lindor	0.1%	—	$626	active
Jordan Beck	0.1%	—	$503	active
Wilyer Abreu	0.1%	—	$656	active
CJ Abrams	0.1%	—	$561	active
Jackson Merrill	0.1%	—	$575	active

Probability sum: 102.1% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve according to the player who hits the most triples during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Market close time (source timestamp): 28 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC

97%

Limited history+0.05pp

Lifetime volume $9KCloses 28 Sept 2026

Outcome

Probability

24h change

Liquidity

State

Xavier Edwards

0.3%

-0.7pp

$563

active

Ronald Acuña Jr.

0.1%

—

$883

active

Shohei Ohtani

0.1%

—

$988

active

Otto Lopez

0.7%

-0.05pp

$972

active

Kevin McGonigle

0.3%

-0.05pp

$772

active

Byron Buxton

0.1%

—

$554

active

Corbin Carroll

96.7%

+0.05pp

$263

active

Luis Arraez

1.4%

+0.3pp

$1K

active

Chandler Simpson

0.5%

—

$956

active

Bobby Witt Jr.

0.1%

-0.1pp

$951

active

Daylen Lile

0.6%

-0.05pp

$753

active

Jarren Duran

0.1%

—

$408

active

Wyatt Langford

0.1%

—

$954

active

Andrew Benintendi

0.1%

—

$546

active

Jung Hoo Lee

0.1%

—

$485

active

Elly De La Cruz

0.1%

—

$561

active

Jakob Marsee

0.1%

—

$617

active

Michael Harris II

0.1%

—

$559

active

Miguel Andujar

0.1%

—

$690

active

Max Muncy

0.3%

—

$641

active

Roman Anthony

0.1%

—

$720

active

Trea Turner

0.1%

—

$618

active

Mickey Moniak

0.1%

—

$612

active

Zach McKinstry

0.1%

—

$576

active

Francisco Lindor

0.1%

—

$626

active

Jordan Beck

0.1%

—

$503

active

Wilyer Abreu

0.1%

—

$656

active

CJ Abrams

0.1%

—

$561

active

Jackson Merrill

0.1%

—

$575

active

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Market close time (source timestamp): 28 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC