Anthropic acquired before 2027?
2%
Recent probability movement (up 16.3pp) is moderate, with acceptable but not deep market activity.
Signal: MediumProbability history will appear after additional syncs.
98%
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability moved noticeably over 24h. The recorded move is up 16.3pp. EventAlpha snapshot history is still sparse — use Polymarket volume/liquidity as the primary confidence check.
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Resolution deadline: 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC
Markets with overlapping topics, entities, or events.
2%
7%
-0.3ppSame category markets without strong topical overlap.
100%
100%
+0.6pp0%
-0.3pp100%
+0.5pp