Sport
Signal: LowMarket data current
Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?
92%
Limited history-1.0pp
24h activity $33Closes 31 Dec 2026
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Current implied probability
4%Probability changed slightly over 24h. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
4%
24h Change
+2.4pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability changed slightly over 24h. The recorded move is up 2.4pp. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited; liquidity is $474 and 24h activity is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Islam Makhachev | 91.5% | -1.0pp | $922 | active |
| Alexandre Pantoja | 0.5% | — | $826 | active |
| Ilia Topuria | 0.9% | — | $429 | active |
| Khamzat Chimaev | 0.7% | — | $527 | active |
| Alexander Volkanovski | 0.8% | -1.7pp | $648 | active |
| Magomed Ankalaev | 0.8% | +0.2pp | $655 | active |
| Jack Della Maddalena | 0.7% | -0.1pp | $653 | active |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0.1% | -0.1pp | $729 | active |
| Petr Yan | 4.4% | +2.4pp | $474 | active |
| Joshua Van | 0.1% | — | $489 | active |
| Tom Aspinall | 0.1% | — | $462 | active |
| Max Holloway | 0.8% | — | $522 | active |
| Dricus Du Plessis | 0.6% | -0.1pp | $255 | active |
| Merab Dvalishvili | 0.3% | — | $619 | active |
| Alex Pereira | 1.6% | — | $1K | active |
Probability sum: 103.7% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
92%
0%
1%
1%
1%
1%