Crypto
Signal: LowMarket data current
Will Milady floor price reach 2 ETH before 2027?
58%
Limited history+0.5pp
Lifetime volume $12KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Loading the latest market intelligence…
Current implied probability
26%Probability moved moderately over 24h. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
26%
24h Change
+3.5pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability moved moderately over 24h. The recorded move is up 3.5pp. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited; liquidity is $7 and 24h activity is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 2 ETH | 57.5% | +0.5pp | $67 | active |
| ↑ 4 ETH | 32.0% | -5.5pp | $84 | active |
| ↑ 6 ETH | 26.0% | +3.5pp | $7 | active |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if the Milady floor price reaches 6 ETH or higher at any point between December 31, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be CoinGecko, specifically the "Milady price chart" available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/nft/milady-maker. The price will be determined based on the value shown when hovering over the chart. Only data from CoinGecko will be used to resolve this market. Prices from other data providers or NFT marketplaces will not be considered.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 1 Jan 2027, 05:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
58%
32%