EAEventAlpha
Politics

Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

17%Stale dataStale / needs refresh-2.5pp (24h)

Recent probability movement (down 2.5pp) is moderate, with acceptable but not deep market activity.

Signal: Medium

Probability history will appear after additional syncs.

17%

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability changed modestly over 24h. The recorded move is down 2.5pp. EventAlpha snapshot history is still sparse — use Polymarket volume/liquidity as the primary confidence check.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
17.0%
No implied probability
83.0%
Liquidity
$39K
Market Activity
$187K
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
30 Jun 2026, 22:28 UTC
View on Polymarket

AI Market Brief

AI brief generated from stored market data at 3 Jul 2026, 23:39 UTC

What this market asks

Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Current market read

This market focuses on whether Michael Bennet will win the Democratic Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled for June 30, 2026. The market will resolve based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential run-off. If the primary does not occur, the market will resolve to 'Other.'

Key takeaways

  • Current market-implied probability at 17%
  • Recent 24-hour movement decreased by 2.5%
  • Volume of $24,701.60 in the last 24 hours

Risks & uncertainties

  • Resolution details depend on official results from the Colorado Democratic Party.
  • No separate resolution-source field is stored; resolution details are based on the market description.
  • Current market-implied probability may change as the primary date approaches.

Resolution summary

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Colorado, with resolution based on the first official announcement of results from the Colorado Democratic Party. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice. If no primary takes place, the market resolves to 'Other.'

Built from stored Polymarket market data. No external news feed.

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 30 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC

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