Loading the latest market intelligence…
Last recorded probability
0%Trading is no longer treated as active while the final result is pending. The figures below are historical and excluded from live rankings and signals.
Final / last recorded
0%
24h Change
0.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Talbott | 0.1% | — | $80K | awaiting resolution |
| Alexandre Pantoja | 0.1% | — | $80K | awaiting resolution |
| Rob Font | 0.1% | — | $79K | awaiting resolution |
| Ricky Simón | 0.0% | -1.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Song Yadong | 0.1% | — | $78K | awaiting resolution |
| Petr Yan | 100.0% | +9.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| Deiveson Figueiredo | 0.1% | — | $78K | awaiting resolution |
| Umar Nurmagomedov | 0.1% | — | $78K | awaiting resolution |
| Alexander Volkanovski | 0.1% | — | $72K | awaiting resolution |
| Pedro Munhoz | 0.1% | — | $72K | awaiting resolution |
| Aiemann Zahabi | 0.1% | — | $72K | awaiting resolution |
| Sean O'Malley | 0.1% | — | $72K | awaiting resolution |
| Cory Sandhagen | 0.1% | — | $72K | awaiting resolution |
Probability sum: 100.5% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)