Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?
91%
Limited history+2.1pp
24h activity $2KCloses 1 Sept 2026
Loading the latest market intelligence…
Current implied probability
2%Probability changed slightly over 24h. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
2%
24h Change
-2.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability changed slightly over 24h. The recorded move is down 2.0pp. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited; liquidity is $506 and 24h activity is $68. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Raiders | 90.8% | +2.1pp | $524 | active |
| Chicago Bears | 1.9% | -2.0pp | $506 | active |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0.1% | — | $1K | active |
| New York Jets | 0.3% | — | $1K | active |
| Indianapolis Colts | 0.1% | — | $2K | active |
| Tennessee Titans | 0.3% | — | $1K | active |
| Carolina Panthers | 0.1% | — | $1K | active |
| San Francisco 49ers | 2.4% | +0.3pp | $473 | active |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0.5% | — | $383 | active |
| Los Angeles Rams | 0.3% | — | $1K | active |
| Dallas Cowboys | 6.3% | -0.5pp | $840 | active |
| Arizona Cardinals | 0.1% | — | $760 | active |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 0.1% | — | $621 | active |
| Minnesota Vikings | 0.1% | — | $2K | active |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 0.7% | -0.05pp | $3K | active |
| Green Bay Packers | 0.1% | — | $716 | active |
| Detroit Lions | 0.3% | — | $762 | active |
| Baltimore Ravens | 0.1% | — | $563 | active |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 3.0% | -0.5pp | $671 | active |
| Atlanta Falcons | 0.1% | — | $384 | active |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0.3% | — | $754 | active |
| Buffalo Bills | 0.1% | — | $2K | active |
| Seattle Seahawks | 0.1% | — | $557 | active |
| New Orleans Saints | 0.1% | — | $2K | active |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 0.1% | — | $1K | active |
| New England Patriots | 0.1% | — | $568 | active |
| Cleveland Browns | 0.1% | — | $1K | active |
| Houston Texans | 0.1% | — | $1K | active |
| Washington Commanders | 0.1% | — | $483 | active |
| Denver Broncos | 0.1% | — | $375 | active |
| New York Giants | 0.1% | — | $952 | active |
| Miami Dolphins | 0.1% | — | $525 | active |
Probability sum: 108.4% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
This market will resolve to the next team Maxx Crosby officially joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”. If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market. An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 1 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
91%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%