Sport
Signal: LowMarket data current
Will Mateusz Gamrot fight Charles Oliveira next?
0%
Limited history
Lifetime volume $36KCloses 1 Mar 2027
Loading the latest market intelligence…
Current implied probability
1%24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
1%
24h Change
0.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurício Ruffy | 0.9% | — | $246 | active |
| Mateusz Gamrot | 0.3% | — | $586 | active |
| Dan Hooker | 0.6% | +0.3pp | $459 | active |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 7.0% | — | $439 | active |
| Justin Gaethje | 27.2% | -2.9pp | $250 | active |
| Paddy Pimblett | 17.4% | +0.2pp | $430 | active |
| Conor McGregor | 0.1% | — | $497 | active |
| Ilia Topuria | 8.3% | +0.8pp | $384 | active |
| Benoît Saint Denis | 32.5% | -5.1pp | $197 | active |
| Islam Makhachev | 0.4% | -0.1pp | $527 | active |
Probability sum: 94.8% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 1 Mar 2027, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
0%
1%
7%
27%
17%
0%