LIV Golf merger/acquisition announced by June 30?
1%
-0.1ppProbability changed modestly over 24h. Signal quality is low because 24h volume is unavailable.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
67%
24h Change
+1.3pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
8
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability changed modestly over 24h. The recorded move is up 1.3pp. Signal quality is low because 24h volume is unavailable; liquidity is $843 and 24h volume is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point during calendar year 2026, any of the following occurs: 1. LIV Golf publicly announces that its league operations have permanently ended, ceased, or been discontinued; or 2. LIV Golf publicly announces that it will permanently stop holding league events and that the league will not continue in its current form or any successor competitive form under the LIV Golf name; or 3. LIV Golf cancels or abandons the remainder of its 2026 season and publicly confirms that no further LIV Golf league events will be held and that league operations will not resume; or 4. LIV Golf is dissolved, liquidated, or merged, absorbed, or restructured into another organization in a manner that results in LIV Golf no longer existing as an operating standalone professional golf league and no longer holding its own branded competitions Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying public announcement during 2026 that LIV Golf will permanently cease league operations will count for a “Yes” resolution regardless of when the announced cessation goes into effect. Temporary suspensions, pauses, schedule reductions, event postponements, format changes, restructurings, ownership changes, or mergers/acquisitions in which LIV Golf continues operating as a subsidiary, division, or continuing branded league will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from LIV Golf; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Resolution deadline: 1 Jan 2027, 00:00 UTC
Markets with overlapping topics, entities, or events.
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