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Final recorded probability
0%Final outcome: No
This market is final. The figures below are retained as a historical record and are excluded from live rankings and signals.
Probability history will appear after additional syncs.
0%
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 16 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bert Mizusawa | 100.0% | +8.9pp | $108K | resolved |
| Kim Farington | 0.0% | -5.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Al Mina | 0.1% | — | $79K | resolved |
| Jason Miyares | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Bryce Reeves | 0.1% | — | $83K | resolved |
| David Williams | 0.0% | -1.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Winsome Earle-Sears | 0.1% | — | $80K | resolved |
| Alex De Paula | 0.1% | -0.2pp | $81K | resolved |
| Chuck Smith | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: 100.1% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)