Sport
Signal: LowMarket data current
Will Joey Bosa play for Denver Broncos in 2026-27?
22%
Limited history-17.0pp
24h activity $10Closes 31 Aug 2026
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Current implied probability
41%Probability changed slightly over 24h. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
41%
24h Change
-1.5pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability changed slightly over 24h. The recorded move is down 1.5pp. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited; liquidity is $20 and 24h activity is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | 22.0% | -17.0pp | $79 | active |
| Carolina Panthers | 39.5% | — | $25 | active |
| Seattle Seahawks | 33.0% | -2.5pp | $47 | active |
| Indianapolis Colts | 26.9% | -11.7pp | $74 | active |
| Tennessee Titans | 42.1% | -0.1pp | $31 | active |
| Detroit Lions | 39.5% | +0.1pp | $16 | active |
| Miami Dolphins | 24.6% | -0.8pp | $77 | active |
| Minnesota Vikings | 33.3% | +16.2pp | $33 | active |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 12.8% | -23.2pp | $71 | active |
| Atlanta Falcons | 18.9% | -4.4pp | $127 | active |
| New England Patriots | 29.4% | +0.2pp | $65 | active |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 28.3% | -7.5pp | $56 | active |
| Baltimore Ravens | 6.3% | -4.7pp | $127 | active |
| Arizona Cardinals | 44.5% | +1.5pp | $22 | active |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 41.8% | -0.6pp | $27 | active |
| Houston Texans | 40.5% | -3.5pp | $39 | active |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 10.0% | — | $68 | active |
| Cleveland Browns | 42.3% | -0.1pp | $29 | active |
| Dallas Cowboys | 35.6% | -0.1pp | $26 | active |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 39.5% | +0.6pp | $17 | active |
| New Orleans Saints | 39.9% | +0.1pp | $25 | active |
| Buffalo Bills | 39.6% | +1.0pp | $31 | active |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 41.9% | -0.8pp | $26 | active |
| Los Angeles Rams | 10.6% | — | $64 | active |
| Chicago Bears | 38.8% | +0.3pp | $34 | active |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 43.0% | +0.8pp | $27 | active |
| Green Bay Packers | 38.6% | +0.1pp | $36 | active |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 42.4% | -1.4pp | $26 | active |
| New York Giants | 41.0% | -0.5pp | $34 | active |
| Washington Commanders | 44.4% | +1.1pp | $29 | active |
| San Francisco 49ers | 41.0% | -1.5pp | $20 | active |
| New York Jets | 33.5% | — | $32 | active |
Probability sum: 1065.3% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
This market will resolve to the next team Joey Bosa officially joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Joey Bosa does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Joey Bosa joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Joey Bosa is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NFL and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 31 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
22%
40%
33%
27%
42%
40%