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Sport

Will Joe Girardi be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?

4%Synced 8 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTCStable consensus-0.2pp (24h)

Probability is mostly stable over 24h. Signal quality is low because 24h volume is unavailable.

Signal: Low

Low-confidence movement

This market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.

Current

4%

24h Change

-0.2pp

7D Change

Not enough history

30D Change

Not enough history

Snapshots

27

0%25%50%75%100%23:006:0012:0019:001:00

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is down 0.2pp. Signal quality is low because 24h volume is unavailable; liquidity is $3K and 24h volume is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.

Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
4.0%
No implied probability
96.0%
Liquidity
$3K
Market Activity
$642
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
8 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTC
View on Polymarket

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Will Joe Girardi be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies. If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Philadelphia Phillies; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 1 Jan 2027, 00:00 UTC

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