Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
34%
Limited history+4.5pp
24h activity $570Closes 12 Nov 2026
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Current implied probability
0%24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
0%
24h Change
0.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | 34.1% | +4.5pp | $1K | active |
| Sonny Gray | 1.8% | +1.0pp | $2K | active |
| Cam Schlittler | 62.0% | +0.3pp | $5K | active |
| Sean Burke | 0.1% | — | $2K | active |
| Logan Gilbert | 0.7% | — | $2K | active |
| Max Fried | 0.1% | — | $4K | active |
| Jacob deGrom | 0.3% | — | $3K | active |
| Pablo Lopez | 0.1% | — | $2K | active |
| Parker Messick | 0.1% | — | $1K | active |
| Tarik Skubal | 0.1% | — | $2K | active |
| Joe Ryan | 0.1% | — | $3K | active |
| Cole Ragans | 0.1% | — | $2K | active |
| Bryan Woo | 0.1% | — | $3K | active |
| Garrett Crochet | 0.1% | — | $3K | active |
| Gavin Williams | 0.1% | — | $2K | active |
| Jose Soriano | 0.1% | — | $2K | active |
| Drew Rasmussen | 0.3% | -2.9pp | $2K | active |
| Kevin Gausman | 0.1% | — | $2K | active |
| George Kirby | 0.1% | — | $3K | active |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 0.1% | — | $3K | active |
| Bryce Miller | 0.1% | — | $2K | active |
| Carlos Rodón | 0.1% | — | $3K | active |
| MacKenzie Gore | 0.1% | — | $3K | active |
| Hunter Brown | 0.1% | — | $3K | active |
| Kyle Bradish | 0.1% | — | $3K | active |
| Ranger Suarez | 0.1% | — | $2K | active |
| Gerrit Cole | 0.1% | — | $3K | active |
Probability sum: 100.4% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 12 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
34%
2%
62%
0%
1%
0%