Crypto
Signal: LowMarket data current
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?
41%
Limited history
24h activity $4Closes 1 Jan 2027
Loading the latest market intelligence…
Current implied probability
23%Probability is mostly stable over 24h. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
23%
24h Change
+0.05pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is up 0.1pp. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited; liquidity is $707 and 24h activity is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $6B | 40.5% | — | $683 | active |
| $4B | 99.5% | — | $4K | active |
| $5B | 95.2% | — | $2K | active |
| $9B | 9.5% | — | $853 | active |
| $7B | 23.1% | +0.05pp | $707 | active |
| $8B | 12.5% | — | $1K | active |
| $10B | 7.0% | — | $1K | active |
| $1B | 100.0% | +0.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| $3B | 100.0% | +0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| $2B | 100.0% | +0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest is equal to or greater than the amount specified in the title at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is Artemis Analytics, using the Hyperliquid page available at: https://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3 The value used will be the “Total” open interest shown when hovering over a daily bar in the “HIP-3 DEXs by Open Interest” chart. A daily value is considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable public data sources.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 1 Jan 2027, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
41%
99%
95%
10%
13%
7%