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Final recorded probability
0%Final outcome: No
This market is final. The figures below are retained as a historical record and are excluded from live rankings and signals.
Final / last recorded
0%
24h Change
0.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 11 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Duffy | 0.1% | — | $13K | resolved |
| Eric Hovde | 0.2% | — | $14K | resolved |
| Tom Tiffany | 99.8% | — | $19K | resolved |
| Rebecca Kleefisch | 0.1% | — | $13K | resolved |
| Andy Manske | 0.5% | +0.2pp | $19K | resolved |
| Josh Schoemann | 0.1% | — | $14K | resolved |
| Tommy Thompson | 0.1% | — | $14K | resolved |
| Tim Michels | 0.1% | — | $13K | resolved |
Probability sum: 100.8% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)