Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
19%
+1.0ppProbability moved noticeably over 24h. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
48%
24h Change
+6.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
7
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability moved noticeably over 24h. The recorded move is up 6.0pp. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited; liquidity is $37 and 24h volume is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Bybit 1-minute candle for edgeX (EDGE/USDT) between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Bybit, specifically the EDGE/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.bybit.com/en/trade/spot/EDGE/USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Bybit EDGE/USDT price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Resolution deadline: 1 Jan 2027, 05:00 UTC
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