EAEventAlpha
Sport

Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

8%Stale dataStale / needs refresh-7.5pp (24h)

Recent probability movement (down 7.5pp) is moderate, with acceptable but not deep market activity.

Signal: Medium

Probability history will appear after additional syncs.

8%

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability moved noticeably over 24h. The recorded move is down 7.5pp. EventAlpha snapshot history is still sparse — use Polymarket volume/liquidity as the primary confidence check.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
8.0%
No implied probability
92.0%
Liquidity
$42K
Market Activity
$134K
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
23 Jun 2026, 22:33 UTC
View on Polymarket

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 25 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC

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