Politics
Signal: LowMarket data current
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
100%
Limited history-0.2pp
24h activity $219Closes 18 Aug 2026
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Current implied probability
0%24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
0%
24h Change
0.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Jolly | 99.5% | -0.2pp | $33K | active |
| Jason Pizzo | 0.1% | +0.05pp | $12K | active |
| Jerry Demings | 0.3% | — | $30K | active |
| Angie Nixon | 0.1% | — | $19K | active |
| Shevrin Jones | 0.1% | — | $11K | active |
| Gwen Graham | 0.1% | — | $11K | active |
| Fentrice Driskell | 0.1% | — | $15K | active |
| Daniella Levine Cava | 0.1% | — | $11K | active |
Probability sum: 100.5% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 18 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
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