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Final recorded probability
100%Final outcome: Yes
This market is final. The figures below are retained as a historical record and are excluded from live rankings and signals.
Final / last recorded
100%
24h Change
+11.9pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PayPal | 48.5% | -2.5pp | $2K | active |
| MGM Resorts | 38.5% | — | $2K | active |
| Nebius Group | 5.1% | -0.05pp | $9K | active |
| Snapchat | 15.4% | +0.5pp | $1K | active |
| Zoom Video Communications | 9.7% | -0.3pp | $4K | active |
| Perplexity AI | 19.5% | — | $2K | active |
| Viking Therapeutics | 21.5% | — | $3K | active |
| GitLab | 8.5% | — | $2K | active |
| BP | 4.2% | — | $6K | active |
| Lovable | 17.0% | — | $1K | active |
| OpenAI | 3.5% | — | $10K | active |
| Ubisoft | 11.0% | — | $3K | active |
| Anthropic | 3.4% | — | $12K | active |
| Brown-Forman | 16.5% | — | $829 | active |
| Warner Bros. Discovery | 100.0% | +5.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Pizza Hut | 100.0% | +4.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Cursor | 100.0% | +11.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Caesars Entertainment | 100.0% | +43.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| iRobot | 100.0% | +73.5pp | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.