Sport
Signal: LowMarket data current
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for New York City FC (NYCFC) next?
2%
Limited history-1.1pp
24h activity $160Closes 31 Aug 2026
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Current implied probability
2%24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
2%
24h Change
0.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC (NYCFC) | 2.4% | -1.1pp | $214 | active |
| Portland Timbers | 1.6% | -0.8pp | $417 | active |
| Los Angeles FC (LAFC) | 2.8% | -0.2pp | $51 | active |
| FC Dallas | 2.1% | — | $40 | active |
| Inter Miami CF | 3.1% | — | $117 | active |
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 7.5% | +7.0pp | $14 | active |
| Sporting Kansas City | 7.6% | +7.0pp | $57 | active |
| Real Salt Lake | 7.5% | +7.0pp | $15 | active |
| Real Madrid | 1.2% | — | $1K | active |
| LA Galaxy | 1.3% | +0.8pp | $94 | active |
| Columbus Crew | 7.5% | +7.3pp | $57 | active |
| D.C. United | 0.6% | +0.3pp | $34 | active |
| Seattle Sounders FC | 0.8% | -0.1pp | $164 | active |
| Atlanta United FC | 0.7% | — | $104 | active |
| Colorado Rapids | 6.0% | -0.05pp | $157 | active |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 7.6% | — | $8 | active |
| Sporting CP | 7.5% | — | $18 | active |
| New England Revolution | 0.6% | — | $79 | active |
| St. Louis CITY SC | 1.9% | +0.3pp | $126 | active |
| CF Montréal | 3.8% | — | $115 | active |
| San Diego FC | 1.9% | +0.7pp | $51 | active |
| FC Cincinnati | 2.1% | — | $554 | active |
| New York Red Bulls | 0.9% | — | $120 | active |
| Austin FC | 0.5% | — | $124 | active |
| Charlotte FC | 0.1% | — | $171 | active |
| Houston Dynamo FC | 0.6% | — | $23 | active |
| Toronto FC | 0.3% | — | $181 | active |
| Chicago Fire FC | 0.3% | — | $113 | active |
| Orlando City SC | 2.8% | -0.2pp | $203 | active |
| Philadelphia Union | 0.9% | — | $51 | active |
| Nashville SC | 1.1% | -0.1pp | $87 | active |
| Minnesota United FC | 2.4% | -0.6pp | $75 | active |
Probability sum: 88.1% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
This market will resolve to the next club Cristiano Ronaldo officially joins by August 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. If Cristiano Ronaldo does not officially join a new club by August 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Al Nassr”. If Cristiano Ronaldo signs a contract that includes a delayed transfer or loan-back clause requiring him to remain at Al Nassr for a specified period before joining another club, this market will resolve to the club he is officially contracted to join following that period. If Cristiano Ronaldo joins a club that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Cristiano Ronaldo is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional club by August 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. Transfers or assignments between a club’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market. An official transfer announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Al Nassr and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 31 Aug 2026, 02:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
2%
2%
3%
3%
8%
8%