EAEventAlpha
Sport

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

77%Stale dataStale / needs refresh

Signal quality is low because the market data is stale.

Signal: Low

Probability history will appear after additional syncs.

77%

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.

Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
76.5%
No implied probability
23.5%
Liquidity
$3.0M
Market Activity
$4.2M
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
18 Jun 2026, 21:42 UTC
View on Polymarket

AI Market Brief

AI brief generated from stored market data at 18 Jun 2026, 21:52 UTC

What this market asks

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Current market read

This market is about whether Canada wins on 2026-06-18. The current market-implied probability for Canada is 76.5%. It is one outcome within the multi-outcome event "Canada vs. Qatar," so the volume and liquidity shown reflect this outcome's market activity only.

Key takeaways

  • Current market-implied probability is 76.5%.
  • This outcome's market activity shows substantial volume and liquidity.
  • Grouped outcome context: Canada is one outcome in "Canada vs. Qatar".

Risks & uncertainties

  • No 24h movement data is available.
  • This is only this outcome's market activity, not combined event-wide activity.
  • Resolution depends on official match statistics, with a fallback to credible reporting if needed.

Resolution summary

The market resolves to "Yes" if Canada wins the game, and to "No" otherwise. It refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, it resolves "No". The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; if final match statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event ends, credible reporting may be used instead.

Built from stored Polymarket market data. No external news feed.

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 18, 2026 If Canada wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 18 Jun 2026, 22:00 UTC

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