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Final recorded probability
100%Final outcome: Yes
This market is final. The figures below are retained as a historical record and are excluded from live rankings and signals.
Probability history will appear after additional syncs.
100%
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
FIFA has confirmed that the first World Cup halftime show will take place at the FIFA World Cup Final on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. The show will be produced by Global Citizen. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual performs live and in person at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show on July 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying performance includes any live appearance during the halftime show, including guest appearances, even if the artist does not perform a full set. If this event is cancelled, postponed, or rescheduled beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage of the FIFA World Cup Final halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 19 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coldplay | 100.0% | +1.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Maluma | 0.0% | -7.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| J Balvin | 0.0% | -5.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Tems | 0.1% | -2.5pp | $12K | awaiting resolution |
| IShowSpeed | 0.0% | -12.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 0.0% | -22.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| BTS | 100.0% | +0.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Drake | 0.0% | -9.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Rihanna | 0.0% | -1.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Burna Boy | 100.0% | +0.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Bad Bunny | 0.0% | -2.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Justin Bieber | 100.0% | +0.7pp | $0 | resolved |
| Taylor Swift | 0.0% | -0.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Adele | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| SZA | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Shakira | 100.0% | +0.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Jay-Z | 0.0% | -0.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| The Weeknd | 0.0% | -0.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Post Malone | 0.1% | -18.3pp | $39K | awaiting resolution |
| Kendrick Lamar | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Lady Gaga | 0.0% | -1.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Karol G | 0.0% | -9.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Daddy Yankee | 0.0% | -7.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Nicki Minaj | 0.0% | -1.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Camila Cabello | 0.0% | -4.7pp | $0 | resolved |
| David Guetta | 0.0% | -0.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Wizkid | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Feid | 0.0% | -7.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Rauw Alejandro | 0.0% | -2.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Travis Scott | 0.0% | -2.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Jennifer Lopez | 0.0% | -1.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Eminem | 0.0% | -1.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Beyoncé | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Rosalía | 0.0% | -0.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Dua Lipa | 0.0% | -1.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Charli XCX | 0.0% | -0.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Myke Towers | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Cardi B | 0.0% | -1.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Ed Sheeran | 0.0% | +7.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Olivia Rodrigo | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Chappell Roan | 0.0% | -1.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Harry Styles | 0.0% | -0.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Ariana Grande | 0.0% | -1.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| Sam Smith | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Pitbull | 0.0% | -0.05pp | $0 | resolved |
| Peso Pluma | 0.0% | -0.7pp | $0 | resolved |
| Billie Eilish | 0.0% | -1.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Davido | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Bruno Mars | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Ozuna | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Anuel AA | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Calvin Harris | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.