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Current implied probability
100%Recent probability movement (up 11.3pp) is strong, with acceptable but not deep market activity.
Signal: MediumCurrent
100%
24h Change
+11.3pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability moved strongly over 24h. The recorded move is up 11.3pp. Activity is moderate — the move is plausible but not fully confirmed by deep liquidity.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 100.0% | +11.3pp | $13K | active |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 0.0% | -48.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Manchester United | 0.0% | -48.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Southampton | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Fulham | 0.0% | -0.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Everton | 0.0% | -1.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| Arsenal | 0.0% | -1.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Newcastle United | 0.0% | -0.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Nottingham Forest | 0.0% | -9.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Manchester City | 0.0% | -0.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| West Ham United | 0.0% | -49.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Chelsea | 0.0% | -49.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Ipswich Town | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Leicester City | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Liverpool | 0.0% | -8.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| Aston Villa | 0.0% | -46.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Bournemouth | 0.0% | -49.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Brentford | 0.0% | -50.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Crystal Palace | 0.0% | -49.5pp | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Conference League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Conference League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Conference League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 English Premier League season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the teams that qualified for the 2026-27 Conference League have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the EPL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
No closely related markets found.
No closely related markets found in the current catalog.
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