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Last recorded probability
10%Trading is no longer treated as active while the final result is pending. The figures below are historical and excluded from live rankings and signals.
Probability history will appear after additional syncs.
10%
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Cologne 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for June 2nd - June 21st, 2026. If this tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne) may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 21 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9z | 0.1% | -3.0pp | $91K | awaiting resolution |
| Aurora | 9.8% | +5.0pp | $84K | awaiting resolution |
| G2 | 2.4% | +0.6pp | $75K | awaiting resolution |
| FURIA | 16.3% | +0.3pp | $113K | awaiting resolution |
| Team Spirit | 25.0% | -3.5pp | $83K | awaiting resolution |
| Vitality | 39.0% | +0.5pp | $142K | awaiting resolution |
| Falcons | 7.5% | +1.0pp | $127K | awaiting resolution |
| BetBoom | 3.5% | -0.1pp | $85K | awaiting resolution |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.