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Last recorded probability
0%Trading is no longer treated as active while the final result is pending. The figures below are historical and excluded from live rankings and signals.
Probability history will appear after additional syncs.
0%
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed NFL player is traded by July 22, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 22 Jul 2026, 23:55 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Pierce | 0.1% | -0.6pp | $7K | awaiting resolution |
| Jalen Carter | 0.1% | -9.7pp | $58K | awaiting resolution |
| De'Von Achane | 0.1% | -0.6pp | $70K | awaiting resolution |
| Brian Thomas Jr. | 0.1% | -0.5pp | $36K | awaiting resolution |
| George Pickens | 0.1% | -14.4pp | $285 | awaiting resolution |
| D.K. Metcalf | 0.1% | -0.7pp | $72K | awaiting resolution |
| Trey Hendrickson | 0.1% | -1.5pp | $37K | awaiting resolution |
| Trent Williams | 0.1% | -0.8pp | $38K | awaiting resolution |
| Breece Hall | 0.1% | -0.2pp | $38K | awaiting resolution |
| Travis Etienne | 0.1% | -1.3pp | $48K | awaiting resolution |
| Mike Evans | 0.1% | -0.1pp | $70K | awaiting resolution |
| Alvin Kamara | 0.1% | -0.3pp | $37K | awaiting resolution |
| Kyler Murray | 0.1% | -0.6pp | $70K | awaiting resolution |
| Kayvon Thibodeaux | 44.5% | -3.5pp | $48 | awaiting resolution |
| AJ Brown | 100.0% | +2.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Jonathan Greenard | 100.0% | +50.0pp | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.