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Last recorded probability
92%Trading is no longer treated as active while the final result is pending. The figures below are historical and excluded from live rankings and signals.
Probability history will appear after additional syncs.
92%
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 25 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer | 0.6% | -0.7pp | $27K | awaiting resolution |
| AJ Dybantsa | 92.0% | +8.0pp | $25K | awaiting resolution |
| Darryn Peterson | 8.0% | -7.5pp | $42K | awaiting resolution |
| Caleb Wilson | 0.4% | +0.3pp | $22K | awaiting resolution |
| Mikel Brown Jr. | 0.1% | — | $28K | awaiting resolution |
| Koa Peat | 0.1% | — | $28K | awaiting resolution |
| Nate Ament | 0.1% | — | $30K | awaiting resolution |
| Jayden Quaintance | 0.1% | — | $27K | awaiting resolution |
| Tounde Yessoufou | 0.1% | — | $30K | awaiting resolution |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.