Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
10%
+5.0ppRecent probability movement (down 3.0pp) is moderate, with acceptable but not deep market activity.
Signal: MediumProbability history will appear after additional syncs.
0%
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability changed modestly over 24h. The recorded move is down 3.0pp. EventAlpha snapshot history is still sparse — use Polymarket volume/liquidity as the primary confidence check.
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Cologne 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for June 2nd - June 21st, 2026. If this tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne) may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Resolution deadline: 21 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC
Markets with overlapping topics, entities, or events.
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