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Current implied probability
14%Probability is mostly stable over 24h. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
14%
24h Change
-0.6pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
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Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is down 0.6pp. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited; liquidity is $348 and 24h activity is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
In sports, a Scorigami is a scoring combination that has never before occurred in a sport or league's history. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final score of any 2026 MLB regular season game is a Scorigami. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined whether any final score was a Scorigami within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/scores), however other sites tracking Scorigami may be used (https://mlbscorigami.com/, https://x.com/MLBgami).
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 28 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC
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