EAEventAlpha
Politics

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

4%Synced 4 Jul 2026, 03:01 UTCStable consensus-0.05pp (24h)

Probability is mostly stable over 24h. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited.

Signal: Low

Low-confidence movement

This market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.

Current

4%

24h Change

-0.05pp

7D Change

Not enough history

30D Change

Not enough history

Snapshots

8

0%25%50%75%100%30 Jun3 Jul4 Jul

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is down 0.1pp. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited; liquidity is $81 and 24h volume is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.

Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
4.2%
No implied probability
95.8%
Liquidity
$81
Market Activity
$717
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
4 Jul 2026, 03:01 UTC
View on Polymarket

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Decriminalize Adult Commercial Sexual Activity bill (SB26-097) (https://leg.colorado.gov/bills/sb26-097) is passed by both chambers of the Colorado General Assembly and becomes law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is official information from the government of Colorado; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Related Markets

Markets with overlapping topics, entities, or events.