US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
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+0.5ppSignal quality is low because the market data is stale.
Signal: LowProbability history will appear after additional syncs.
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This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Resolution deadline: 30 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC
Markets with overlapping topics, entities, or events.
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