EAEventAlpha
Politics

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

84%Synced 4 Jul 2026, 02:01 UTCStable consensus-0.2pp (24h)

Recent probability movement (down 0.2pp) is moderate, with acceptable but not deep market activity.

Signal: Medium

Current

84%

24h Change

-0.2pp

7D Change

Not enough history

30D Change

Not enough history

Snapshots

7

0%25%50%75%100%30 Jun3 Jul4 Jul

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is down 0.2pp. Activity is moderate — the move is plausible but not fully confirmed by deep liquidity.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
84.3%
No implied probability
15.7%
Liquidity
$11K
Market Activity
$163K
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
4 Jul 2026, 02:01 UTC
View on Polymarket

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aziz Akhannouch ceases to be Prime Minister of Morocco for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aziz Akhannouch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aziz Akhannouch and the government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

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