Sport
LowStale data
Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
57%
+18.5ppVol $4KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Category
Sport
Tournament and season outcome probability movement across major leagues.
2,957 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 247 matching sport markets.
Showing 37-72 of 247 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Sport
LowFresh
Pro Football: Will OBJ sign with a team in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +13.7pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
77%
-13.7ppVol $4KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Sport
LowFresh
Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +10.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
53%
+10.5ppVol $4KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Aljaž Ivačič win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?
Low-confidence: move is +6.7pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
40%
+6.7ppVol $4KCloses 22 Nov 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?
Low-confidence: move is +14.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
60%
+14.0ppVol $4KCloses 19 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Low-confidence: move is +43.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
33%
-43.5ppVol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
67%
-3.0ppVol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Joey Bosa play for Tennessee Titans in 2026-27?
Low-confidence: move is +14.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
25%
+14.5ppVol $3KCloses 31 Aug 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Low-confidence: move is +14.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
7%
-14.0ppVol $3KCloses 19 Jul 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Zack Wheeler win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
41%
-3.0ppVol $3KCloses 19 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Joey Bosa play for Detroit Lions in 2026-27?
Low-confidence: move is +16.4pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
19%
-16.4ppVol $3KCloses 31 Aug 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will the Cleveland Guardians clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
66%
+4.5ppVol $3KCloses 28 Sept 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +20.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
42%
+20.5ppVol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +5.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
45%
-5.0ppVol $2KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Sport
LowFresh
Will Mohamed Salah play in Premier League next?
Low-confidence: move is +27.4pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
22%
-27.4ppVol $2KCloses 1 Sept 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Included because probability moved +3.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
24%
+3.0ppVol $2KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
Low-confidence: move is +4.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
27%
-4.0ppVol $2KCloses 28 Sept 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?
Low-confidence: move is +3.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
18%
-3.3ppVol $2KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Sport
HighFresh
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
Included because probability moved +5.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
46%
+5.0ppVol $2KCloses 1 Nov 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Viking win Norway Eliteserien?
Low-confidence: move is +12.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
59%
+12.0ppVol $2KCloses 20 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?
Low-confidence: move is +7.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
91%
+7.5ppVol $2KCloses 25 Sept 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +5.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
40%
-5.5ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +3.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
70%
-3.5ppVol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Junior Caminero hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
18%
+3.0ppVol $1KCloses 11 Oct 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Mohamed Salah play in MLS next?
Low-confidence: move is +4.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
9%
+4.0ppVol $1KCloses 1 Sept 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Merab Dvalishvili become UFC champion in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +29.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
47%
+29.5ppVol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
Included because probability moved +4.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
15%
+4.0ppVol $1KCloses 13 Sept 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Petr Yan fight Sean O’Malley next?
Low-confidence: move is +5.9pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
20%
-5.9ppVol $866Closes 31 Dec 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
Included because probability moved -4.2pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
10%
-4.2ppVol $755Closes 1 Nov 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Cardi B and Stefon Diggs get engaged in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +20.6pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
21%
-20.6ppVol $671Closes 31 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2026 AFC West?
Low-confidence: move is +6.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
29%
+6.0ppVol $606Closes 4 Jan 2027
Sport
LowFresh
Will George Pickens play for Arizona Cardinals in 2026-27?
Low-confidence: move is +10.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
28%
-10.3ppVol $580Closes 1 Sept 2026
Sport
MediumStale data
Will Olimpia Milano win Serie A?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+26.4ppVol $504Closes 20 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Kevin McGonigle lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?
Low-confidence: move is +20.1pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
27%
-20.1ppVol $504Closes 11 Oct 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2026 AFC North?
Low-confidence: move is +11.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
45%
+11.5ppVol $465Closes 4 Jan 2027
Sport
LowFresh
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
Low-confidence: move is +14.9pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
19%
+14.9ppVol $453Closes 26 Jan 2027
Avg 24h move 3.1pp451 markets with notable movementCombined activity $918K
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