Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.2pp).
Stable consensus
1%
+0.2ppVol $55KCloses 1 Nov 2026
Category
Sport
Tournament and season outcome probability movement across major leagues.
2,957 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 188 matching sport markets.
Showing 73-108 of 188 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.1ppVol $51KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Lorenzo Sonego be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
Vol $49KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.9pp.
High activity
3%
+0.9ppVol $47KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved -2.9pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
4%
-2.9ppVol $47KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Included because probability moved -3.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
18%
-3.0ppVol $47KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.2pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.2ppVol $46KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppVol $46KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?
Included because probability moved +2.4pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
4%
+2.4ppVol $45KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
1%
+0.1ppVol $45KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumStale data
Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-1.7ppVol $45KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.6pp.
High activity
11%
-0.6ppVol $45KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Maria Sakkari be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
Vol $42KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Tommy Paul be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
-1.3ppVol $41KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.3pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.3ppVol $40KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $39KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.2pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.2ppVol $39KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.3pp.
High activity
15%
-0.3ppVol $39KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will a player representing Croatia be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $38KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Gabriel Diallo be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $36KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Félix Auger-Aliassime be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.9pp.
High activity
3%
+0.9ppVol $36KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
1%
+0.1ppVol $36KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Grigor Dimitrov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.5pp.
High activity
2%
+0.5ppVol $36KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.1pp.
High activity
3%
-0.1ppVol $35KCloses —
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.8pp.
High activity
5%
+0.8ppVol $35KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved +2.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
66%
+2.5ppVol $35KCloses —
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
-0.1ppVol $35KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Included because probability moved +5.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
60%
+5.0ppVol $34KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $34KCloses 1 Nov 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $34KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only 0.0pp.
High activity
2%
Vol $33KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
+0.05ppVol $33KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.5ppVol $33KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Ugo Humbert be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.2ppVol $32KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppVol $31KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Alexander Bublik be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
1%
Vol $29KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Avg 24h move 3.2pp461 markets with notable movementCombined activity $79.0M
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