Politics
LowFresh
Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?
Low-confidence: move is +13.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
57%
+13.0ppVol $226Closes 4 Nov 2026
Category
Politics
Elections, policy outcomes, and legislative probability intelligence.
3,651 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 23 of 59 matching politics markets.
Showing 37-59 of 59 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Politics
LowFresh
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
58%
+3.0ppVol $132Closes 18 Aug 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +4.7pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
35%
-4.7ppVol $106Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?
Low-confidence: move is +5.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
47%
-5.0ppVol $101Closes 4 Nov 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Donald Trump visit West Virginia in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
44%
+3.0ppVol $96Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?
Low-confidence: move is +16.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
39%
-16.0ppVol $91Closes 11 Aug 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +3.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
51%
+3.5ppVol $74Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
Low-confidence: move is +5.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
53%
-5.0ppVol $72Closes 8 Sept 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Donald Trump visit Arkansas in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +8.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
56%
+8.0ppVol $64Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?
Low-confidence: move is +11.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
35%
-11.5ppVol $47Closes 1 Sept 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
58%
+4.5ppVol $41Closes 4 Aug 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Donald Trump visit Indiana in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +6.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
46%
-6.0ppVol $40Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
Low-confidence: move is +4.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
50%
+4.0ppVol $40Closes 1 Aug 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?
Low-confidence: move is +11.2pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
60%
+11.2ppVol $36Closes 11 Aug 2026
Politics
LowFresh
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +9.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
41%
+9.5ppVol $35Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Donald Trump visit Maine in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +11.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
54%
+11.0ppVol $32Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?
Low-confidence: move is +7.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
36%
+7.0ppVol $32Closes 30 Sept 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
49%
-4.5ppVol $15Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
Low-confidence: move is +4.1pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
49%
+4.1ppVol $9Closes 8 Sept 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
Low-confidence: move is +4.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
42%
-4.0ppVol $8Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?
Low-confidence: move is +3.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
47%
+3.5ppVol $5Closes 4 Nov 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +7.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
36%
-7.3ppVol $5Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will the US federal government take a stake in Unusual Machines?
Low-confidence: move is +4.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
50%
-4.0ppVol $3Closes 31 Dec 2026
Avg 24h move 1.7pp384 markets with notable movementCombined activity $166K
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