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Final recorded probability
100%Final outcome: Yes
This market is final. The figures below are retained as a historical record and are excluded from live rankings and signals.
Final / last recorded
100%
24h Change
+70.2pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 4 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Cornyn - TX-Sen | 1.4% | — | $10K | active |
| Lindsey Graham - SC-Sen | 100.0% | +12.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Winsome Earle-Sears - VA-Gov | 0.0% | -43.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Ken Paxton - TX-Sen | 100.0% | +70.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Andy Barr - KY-Sen | 100.0% | +15.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Steve Hilton - CA-Gov | 100.0% | -44.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Susan Collins - ME-Sen | 100.0% | +13.6pp | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.