Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0%
Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
1%
24h Change
+0.05pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
7
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
This market will resolve to the league of next club that Mohamed Salah officially joins by August 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. If Mohamed Salah does not officially join a new club by August 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Mohamed Salah signs a contract that includes a delayed transfer or loan-back clause requiring him to remain at Liverpool for a specified period before joining another club, this market will resolve to the club he is officially contracted to join following that period. If Mohamed Salah joins a club in a league that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Mohamed Salah is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional club by August 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. Transfers or assignments between a club’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market. An official transfer announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Liverpool, Mohamed Salah and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Resolution deadline: 1 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC
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