Crypto
MediumMarket data current
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?
75%
Limited history
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This market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
45%
24h Change
-4.5pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
22
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability changed modestly over 24h. The recorded move is down 4.5pp. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited; liquidity is $231 and 24h volume is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Why this may have moved
Attribution is only attempted for meaningful medium- or high-signal moves; thin or low-confidence moves are skipped.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Apyx's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Apyx will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Apyx (https://x.com/apyx_fi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 1 Jan 2028, 05:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
75%
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50M | 74.7% | -1.1pp | $2K | active |
| $80M | 74.5% | +1.0pp | $4K | active |
| $800M | 28.5% | +0.5pp | $2K | active |
| $150M | 45.0% | -4.5pp | $231 | active |
| $100M | 65.5% | +5.0pp | $5K | active |
| $300M | 27.0% | +3.0pp | $260 | active |
Current implied probability
45%Probability changed modestly over 24h. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited.
Signal: Low5%
66%
75%
25%
29%
| $1B | 5.3% | -0.3pp | $4K | active |
| $200M | 25.0% | -6.0pp | $4K | active |
| $500M | 42.0% | — | $26 | active |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.