Politics
MediumFresh
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
1%
-0.05ppVol $15Closes 9 Dec 2026
Category
Politics
Elections, policy outcomes, and legislative probability intelligence.
3,651 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 360 matching politics markets.
Showing 325-360 of 360 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
1%
-0.05ppVol $14Closes 4 Aug 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $14Closes 3 Nov 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $14Closes 3 Nov 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $13Closes 13 Sept 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $11Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $11Closes 3 Nov 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $11Closes 3 Nov 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $11Closes 3 Nov 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $11Closes 3 Nov 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.05ppVol $11Closes 3 Nov 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Bruce Walden win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $11Closes 3 Nov 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Lesil McGuire win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.05ppVol $11Closes 3 Nov 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Jessica Faircloth win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
1%
+0.1ppVol $11Closes 3 Nov 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Destry J. Payne Sr. win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $11Closes 3 Nov 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Gregg Brelsford win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
1%
-0.05ppVol $11Closes 3 Nov 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $11Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Kaitlin Purrington be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $10Closes 4 Aug 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Brandon Sowers be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $10Closes 4 Aug 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Muchelle Ugenti-Rita be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $10Closes 4 Aug 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $10Closes 26 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $10Closes 26 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $10Closes 26 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $10Closes 26 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $10Closes 26 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $10Closes 26 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $9Closes 4 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $8Closes 3 Nov 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $8Closes 4 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $6Closes 27 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $4Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $3Closes 4 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will James Ingram be the Republican nominee for MO-06?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.2pp).
Stable consensus
1%
-0.2ppVol $1Closes 4 Aug 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Cody Oshel be the Republican nominee for MO-06?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
1%
+0.1ppVol $1Closes 4 Aug 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $1Closes 18 Aug 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $0Closes 4 Oct 2026
Avg 24h move 1.7pp394 markets with notable movementCombined activity $18.0M
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