EAEventAlpha
Sport

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

100%Synced 11 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTCResolution watch+0.05pp (24h)

Recent probability movement (up 0.1pp) is moderate, with acceptable but not deep market activity.

Signal: Medium

Current

100%

24h Change

+0.05pp

7D Change

Not enough history

30D Change

Not enough history

Snapshots

3

0%25%50%75%100%22:000:001:00

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is up 0.1pp. Activity is moderate — the move is plausible but not fully confirmed by deep liquidity.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
99.5%
No implied probability
0.5%
Liquidity
$3K
Market Activity
$12K
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
11 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTC
View on Polymarket

Follow with Market Radar

Get an email when this market has a meaningful stored probability move or appears in the Daily Brief.

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for May 5 at 7:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Milwaukee Brewers or St. Louis Cardinals. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores. This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 12 May 2026, 23:45 UTC

Related Markets

Markets with overlapping topics, entities, or events.