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Sport

Will The MongolZ make a roster change before July?

30%Stale dataStale / needs refresh+15.2pp (24h)

Probability moved noticeably over 24h. Signal quality is low because the market data is stale.

Signal: Low

Low-confidence movement

This market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.

Probability history will appear after additional syncs.

30%

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability moved noticeably over 24h. The recorded move is up 15.2pp. Signal quality is low because the market data is stale; liquidity is $69 and 24h volume is $62. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.

Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
30.4%
No implied probability
69.5%
Liquidity
$69
Market Activity
$6K
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
30 Jun 2026, 20:18 UTC
View on Polymarket

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves The MongolZ's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of The MongolZ" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/6248/the-mongolz#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: bLitz, Techno, mzinho, 910, and cobrazera. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

Resolution source: https://www.hltv.org/team/6248/the-mongolz#tab-rosterBox. This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 1 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC

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