EAEventAlpha
Sport

Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

1%Synced 13 Jul 2026, 02:00 UTCResolution watch-0.8pp (24h)

Recent probability movement (down 0.8pp) is moderate, with acceptable but not deep market activity.

Signal: Medium

Current

1%

24h Change

-0.8pp

7D Change

Not enough history

30D Change

Not enough history

Snapshots

46

0%25%50%75%100%5:0016:004:0015:002:00

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is down 0.8pp. Activity is moderate — the move is plausible but not fully confirmed by deep liquidity.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
0.8%
No implied probability
99.2%
Liquidity
$9K
Market Activity
$75K
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
13 Jul 2026, 02:00 UTC
View on Polymarket

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Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve to the nation that records the most total goals through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the nation who advanced farther in the competition. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation that is listed first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 3 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC

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