EAEventAlpha
Sport

Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

54%Synced 13 Jul 2026, 02:00 UTCMeaningful move-7.0pp (24h)

Probability moved down 7.0pp with solid liquidity and activity backing the shift.

Signal: High

Current

54%

24h Change

-7.0pp

7D Change

Not enough history

30D Change

Not enough history

Snapshots

46

0%25%50%75%100%5:0016:004:0015:002:00

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability moved noticeably over 24h. The recorded move is down 7.0pp. Liquidity and activity are strong enough to treat this as a more reliable consensus shift.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
54.0%
No implied probability
46.0%
Liquidity
$13K
Market Activity
$80K
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
13 Jul 2026, 02:00 UTC
View on Polymarket

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Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Move attribution

Not checked yet

Move attribution has not been checked for this market yet.

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve to the nation that records the most total goals through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the nation who advanced farther in the competition. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation that is listed first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 3 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC

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