Tech/AI
LowMarket data current
Will Ariana Grande officially release Petal by July 31, 2026?
76%
Loading the latest market intelligence…
Current
98%
24h Change
0.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 31 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
76%
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 31 | 98.1% | — | $288 | active |
| July 31 | 76.4% | -9.0pp | $60 | active |
| June 30 | 0.0% | -28.1pp | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.
Current implied probability
98%Market activity is moderate — moves should be interpreted with standard caution.
Signal: MediumThis page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.