EAEventAlpha
Politics

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?

48%Synced 13 Jul 2026, 23:00 UTCStable consensus

Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited.

Signal: Low

Low-confidence movement

This market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.

Current

48%

24h Change

Not enough history

7D Change

Not enough history

30D Change

Not enough history

Snapshots

8

0%25%50%75%100%16:0018:0020:0021:0023:00

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.

Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
47.5%
No implied probability
52.5%
Liquidity
$26
Market Activity
$239
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
13 Jul 2026, 23:00 UTC
View on Polymarket

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Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 16 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC

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