Politics

Elections, policy outcomes, and legislative probability intelligence.

3,651 markets in scope in this category.

Showing 5 of 149 matching politics markets.

Showing 145-149 of 149 markets.

Markets in this category

Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.

Politics

MediumFresh

Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).

Stable consensus

Vol $11KCloses 7 Nov 2028

Politics

MediumFresh

Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).

Stable consensus

Vol $11KCloses 31 Dec 2026

Politics

MediumFresh

Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.3pp.

High activity

-0.3pp

Vol $10KCloses 30 Sept 2026

Politics

MediumFresh

Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).

Stable consensus

-0.05pp

Vol $10KCloses 31 Dec 2026

Politics

MediumFresh

Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.

Resolution watch

99%

-0.1pp

Vol $10KCloses 8 Jul 2026

Avg 24h move 1.7pp385 markets with notable movementCombined activity $30.8M