Sport

Will Universidad de Concepción win Chile Primera?

44%Synced 4 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTCLow-confidence move-2.5pp (24h)

Probability changed modestly over 24h. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited.

Signal: Low

Low-confidence movement

This market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.

Current

44%

24h Change

-2.5pp

7D Change

Not enough history

30D Change

Not enough history

Snapshots

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability changed modestly over 24h. The recorded move is down 2.5pp. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited; liquidity is $26 and 24h volume is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.

Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability: 43.5%
No implied probability: 56.5%
Liquidity: $26
Market Activity: $27
Data Source: Polymarket
Last Synced: 4 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTC

View on Polymarket

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Chile Primera. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Chile Primera per the rules of Chile Primera (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Chile Primera; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

36%

-7.0pp

Vol $27Closes 20 Dec 2026