EAEventAlpha
Sport

Will Tom McKibbin leave LIV Golf by June 30th?

50%Stale dataStale / needs refresh+0.5pp (24h)

Probability is mostly stable over 24h. Signal quality is low because the market data is stale.

Signal: Low

Low-confidence movement

This market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.

Probability history will appear after additional syncs.

50%

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is up 0.5pp. Signal quality is low because the market data is stale; liquidity is $3 and 24h volume is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.

Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
50.0%
No implied probability
50.0%
Liquidity
$3
Market Activity
$0
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
30 Jun 2026, 20:18 UTC
View on Polymarket

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player formally ceases membership with LIV Golf, and ceases participation in LIV Golf events by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed player makes an official announcement regarding their intention to join another tour before the aforementioned date, the corresponding market will resolve to “Yes”, regardless of when that change takes effect. If LIV Golf ceases operations entirely within the declared timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Yes”. If LIV Golf announces a merger or acquisition with another competition, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”, even if the player’s tour membership transfers to a successor entity. The resolution source for this market will be official information from LIV, the acquiring competition, and/or the listed player; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 30 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC

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